Time Justice Part 1: Russian Roulette with the Future of Humanity

This is going to be a series of three articles. The first (this one) discusses and justifies Toby Ord’s estimate that the human race has about a 1 in 6 chance of destroying itself in the next 100 years (a large portion of this article is functionally a summary of his book “The Precipice”). The next will cover what the future might look like if we don’t, and explains why that risk is likely to decline. The third will introduce the beginnings of a framework for “time justice” as a way of conceptualizing how the conclusions of the first two parts